Stock Market Prediction for Monday (Dec 22, 2025) | Nifty, Bank Nifty Levels & Market Insights

Hello friends! 👋

What a constructive finish to the week it’s been. Nifty reclaimed the 25,900+ zone and closed near the day’s high, while Bank Nifty held above 59,000, helping the market snap its recent losing streak and reset the tone for the coming week. India VIX remained suppressed near the lower end of its historical band, keeping the environment favourable for option writers and controlled for directional traders.​

Let’s walk through this week’s price action, option chains, key news/flows, and build an actionable roadmap for Monday and the week ahead.

Weekly Stock Market Review

Nifty 50: Nifty oscillated in a range for most of the week and then staged a strong rebound on Friday, ending around 25,966 after hitting an intraday high near 25,993. Dips toward the lower end of the band invited buying, and the index finished close to the day’s high, indicating short‑covering plus fresh long build‑up into the weekend.​

Bank Nifty: Bank Nifty closed around 59,012–59,069, up about 0.27% for the day, and continued to hover near record levels despite intra‑week volatility. The index defended 58,900–59,000 on declines, reflecting support from large private and select PSU banks even as stock‑specific pressure appeared in names like Kotak Bank and ICICI Bank.​

Sensex: Sensex jumped about 447 points to end around 84,929, mirroring Nifty’s recovery and closing near the upper band of its recent consolidation. Market breadth turned constructive with more advances than declines, and both midcap and smallcap indices outperformed on Friday.​

What Drove This Week

• DIIs remained broadly supportive, absorbing selling pressure and helping the index recover from mid‑week weakness, while FIIs continued to show mixed to cautious behaviour.​
• All major sectoral indices ended in the green on Friday, with realty, auto, oil & gas, pharma and FMCG leading the gains.​
• Global cues were mixed but did not trigger any risk‑off wave, as expectations of a supportive global policy backdrop and contained inflation helped maintain a buy‑on‑dips stance.​

Key Technical Levels & Market Bias for the Week Ahead

Use your latest EOD data to fill this table before posting (numbers below are updated for 19 Dec 2025):

Nifty: The 25,900–25,800 zone below Friday’s close near 25,966 is the immediate support; holding above it keeps upside attempts toward 26,100–26,250 open, while a close below 25,800 can trigger deeper mean‑reversion and short‑term pressure.​

Bank Nifty: Sustained trade above 59,000 keeps the bias constructive, with 59,800–60,200 as the next resistance band; only a decisive close below 58,700–58,800 would hint at bulls losing near‑term control and a broader consolidation or corrective phase emerging.

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Sector & Stock Performance Snapshot

Strong Sectors

• Realty / Auto / Oil & Gas / Pharma / FMCG: On Friday, Nifty Realty outperformed with gains of around 1.7%, while Nifty Auto, Oil & Gas, Pharma and FMCG also closed firmly in the green, reflecting rotation into domestic demand and defensives.
• Midcap and smallcap indices rallied over 1%, supported by strong moves in names like Tata Elxsi, Coromandel International, Waaree Energies, Ola Electric, JBM Auto and NBCC.​
• IT: IT saw renewed interest after upbeat global cues and better‑than‑expected Accenture numbers, even though some heavyweights like HCL Tech underperformed on the day.​

Weaker Segments

• Select Metals / Financials (stock‑specific): Metals and a few financial names showed relative underperformance, with stocks such as Hindalco, JSW Steel, Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank among the notable laggards in the Nifty basket.
• The weakness appeared more rotational than structural, consistent with a healthy uptrend rather than a distribution phase.​

Noteworthy Action

• Leadership remained rotational, with no broad risk‑off; multiple stocks posted 52‑week highs, and several midcaps continued to break out from consolidation patterns.​
• India VIX hovered around 9.5, near multi‑month lows, underscoring a low‑volatility backdrop conducive to option‑writing strategies.​

Institutional Activity Overview

Foreign and domestic flows stayed divergent, but the overall effect remained constructive for the market.​

• FIIs: Have largely been net sellers to mildly negative in recent weeks, often using strength to trim risk, which has periodically weighed on index heavyweights and added to intraday volatility through shifting index‑derivatives positioning.​
• DIIs: Have remained steady net buyers on declines, especially in largecaps and financials, with strong SIP‑driven equity inflows acting as a key source of domestic support.​
• Volatility (India VIX): India VIX is hovering near 9–10, close to record lows, a zone typically linked with low realised volatility and trend persistence but also with the risk of sharp repricing if an adverse macro shock emerges.​

This discussion is for general, educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.

Option Chain & Market Sentiment

Note: NSE’s live option‑chain pages are dynamic; the qualitative zones below are aligned with current price/OI behaviour and should be refreshed with live NSE data before publishing.​

Nifty 50 Option Chain (near‑term Dec series)

• Max Call OI: Clustered just above spot in the 26,100–26,300 zone, acting as an immediate supply wall and tempering sharp upside in the near term.​
• Max Put OI: Concentrated around 25,800–26,000, just below spot, signalling firm put writing and a defended floor close to Friday’s levels.​
• PCR (OI/volume): Hovering near 1.2, which points to balanced to mildly positive sentiment rather than an extreme bullish or bearish stance.​
• Max Pain: Currently gravitating near the 26,000 mark, indicating a preference for rangebound price action around this band in the absence of a fresh trigger.​

Sentiment takeaway – Nifty:

The Nifty option chain continues to imply a “buy on dips, sell on spikes” regime, with put writers actively defending 25,800–26,000 and call writers capping 26,100–26,300, pointing to consolidation with an upward bias as long as the lower band holds; a meaningful shift of put OI to higher strikes next week would further support the bullish‑consolidation narrative

Bank Nifty Option Chain

• Max Call OI: Visible around key psychological levels such as 60,000 and slightly above, marking the immediate hurdle for a sustained breakout.​
• Max Put OI: Built around 59,000 and lower supports like 58,500-58,000, indicating that traders are willing to defend declines toward these zones.​
• PCR: Around 0.80, pointing to a cautiously bullish stance, but still allowing for both‑side moves if global cues wobble.​
• Max Pain: Hovering near the 59,500 area, suggesting a tendency to keep prices gravitating around the mid‑range of the current band, barring a strong breakout.​

Sentiment Takeaway – Bank Nifty

The Bank Nifty option chain supports a constructive to bullish trend, but with room for intraday whipsaws between 59,000 and 60,000 as option sellers actively adjust around prominent strikes. Sustained trade above 59,300–59,500 with rising long OI would open the path toward a clean 60,000+ breakout, whereas a break below 58,800 could shift the bias to broader consolidation.​

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IPOs, Corporate Actions & Upcoming Catalysts

IPO Radar:

Busy primary‑market week (22–26 Dec) with one mainboard (ICICI Prudential AMC) and multiple SME IPOs (Neptune Logitek, Marc Technocrats, KSH International, Stanbik Agro, Exim Routes, Ashwini Container Movers), likely driving stock‑specific volatility but only a modest index impact unless oversubscription or surprise listings shift sentiment.​

Corporate Events & Results:

Results and events for 22–24 Dec are light on Nifty heavyweights, with action focused on mid/smallcaps in manufacturing, financials and autos, plus routine board meetings and AGMs that are unlikely to change the broader index view for Monday.​

Global & Macro Events (Week of 22 Dec 2025)

• Early week: PBoC rate signals, China data, UK GDP and RBA minutes may sway global risk, FX and commodities.​
• Mid to late week: US PCE, Q3 GDP revisions, US Consumer Confidence and Japanese CPI, alongside thin Christmas‑week liquidity, could move US yields, equities and intraday volatility globally.​

These cues set the macro backdrop, while Monday’s open should still track Friday’s strong close and domestic flows more closely

Monday Market Prediction & Trading Strategy

The market tone is constructive after a clean recovery and all major sectoral indices closing positive, but rich valuations and low VIX favour disciplined risk management over aggressive trading.

A rangebound‑to‑positive start is the base case, with dips into support zones likely to attract buyers as long as the cited levels hold.​

Nifty Prediction & Trading Strategy (Educational Only)

• View: Bullish consolidation is expected as long as Nifty holds above the 25,900–25,800 support band; this is an educational illustration, not a recommendation to trade or invest.​

Trading Plan (Illustrative):

• Monitor intraday dips toward 25,900–25,850 with any trade ideas using strict stops below 25,800 and reference zones at 26,100 and 26,200–26,250.
• Avoid chasing opening gaps; prefer a buy‑on‑dips and sell‑on‑spikes approach near key option open‑interest zones.
• Aggressive short setups are generally considered only below 25,800 with clear breadth deterioration and put OI unwinding.

Bank Nifty Prediction & Trading Strategy (Educational Only)

• View: Structure stays positive above 59,000, with 59,800–60,200 as a reference hurdle zone; these are learning levels, not trade instructions.​

Plan (Illustrative):

• Use intraday dips toward 59,000–58,900 only as a case study for staggered long planning, with example stop‑loss zones below 58,700–58,800.
• Consider partial profit‑booking or hedging near 59,800–60,000 unless there is a strong breakout with higher volumes and supportive OI.
• Avoid over‑leveraging, as option positioning around 59,000 and 60,000 can lead to sharp intraday swings.

Options Strategy (Educational Only)

Given the low‑VIX backdrop and range‑biased option chains:

• Non‑directional traders may explore defined‑risk iron flies or iron condors around the max‑pain and heavy OI zones on Nifty (around 26,000–26,100) and Bank Nifty (around 59,500), adjusting widths based on personal risk tolerance.​
• Directional traders can prefer debit spreads over naked options, such as call spreads on dips in a bullish bias or put spreads on failed breakouts, to better manage theta decay and event risk.​
• Position sizing, stop discipline and avoiding FOMO entries around macro headlines or IPO listings remain critical despite the seemingly benign volatility regime.

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Final Thoughts

Markets are rewarding disciplined traders who respect levels and position sizing while punishing over‑aggression and FOMO entries. Let the market come to your levels, avoid emotional trades around news, and focus on consistency over hero calls.

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Disclaimer

This is educational content only—not investment advice, solicitation, or offer to buy/sell. Markets involve risks; always assess your finances, risk tolerance, and goals. Past performance isn't a future guarantee; opinions and projections may change without notice. No responsibility or liability for losses or damages from using this information. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized recommendations.